NCAA Tournament March Madness
#127 St Thomas MN
Bubble Watch | Bracketology
Chat with the Bracketologist | How does this work?
Projection: need to automatically qualify
St. Thomas's resume reads like a team whose clearest route to the NCAA field is winning the Summit League tournament because its nonconference slate produced respectable efforts but no marquee road victory and a few damaging away and neutral losses. The program's best moments are real—road wins at Oral Roberts and Portland and a neutral victory over Northern Colorado plus a string of convincing conference wins over the likes of South Dakota and North Dakota that show they can close games away from home. The worst moments undercut any at-large case, with road setbacks at St. Mary's, Washington State and Montana State and a neutral loss to Cal State Fullerton and a tight defeat at North Dakota State that leave the résumé short on signature scalps. With a remaining run of conference matchups and midmajor opponents that offer chances to improve, the safe, logical path to the field is to secure the Summit League’s automatic bid.
| Date | Opponent | Ranking | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/3 | @St Mary's CA | 36 | L84-58 |
| 11/8 | Army | 337 | W83-76 |
| 11/10 | @Washington St | 140 | L81-71 |
| 11/13 | WI Green Bay | 226 | W80-61 |
| 11/15 | @SE Missouri St | 251 | W84-72 |
| 11/21 | (N)N Colorado | 187 | W73-72 |
| 11/22 | (N)CS Fullerton | 186 | L88-80 |
| 11/23 | @Portland | 199 | W76-66 |
| 12/3 | @Montana St | 148 | L82-74 |
| 12/7 | Weber St | 203 | W88-65 |
| 12/13 | @UNC Asheville | 218 | W80-59 |
| 12/20 | UC Riverside | 276 | W92-78 |
| 1/4 | Denver | 265 | W92-88 |
| 1/7 | South Dakota | 287 | W99-86 |
| 1/10 | @Oral Roberts | 330 | W82-71 |
| 1/15 | @North Dakota | 280 | W91-80 |
| 1/17 | @N Dakota St | 120 | L68-65 |
| 1/22 | S Dakota St | 192 | W74-69 |
| 1/24 | @South Dakota | 287 | W90-78 |
| 1/29 | North Dakota | 280 | 87% |
| 2/1 | Missouri KC | 351 | 96% |
| 2/4 | @S Dakota St | 192 | 54% |
| 2/7 | Oral Roberts | 330 | 93% |
| 2/12 | @NE Omaha | 256 | 67% |
| 2/14 | @Missouri KC | 351 | 88% |
| 2/21 | @Denver | 265 | 69% |
| 2/26 | N Dakota St | 120 | 60% |
| 2/28 | NE Omaha | 256 | 84% |